Working Paper · 2026
Platforms and policymakers keep rewriting the rules for online political advertising, but what regulations do citizens actually want? Using a nationally representative NORC …
Working Paper · 2026
Examines how vision-language models respond to visual cues of gender and race, documenting systematic associations between demographic features in images and stereotyped outputs. …
Working Paper · 2026
Introduces Gaussian process regression (GPR) as a complement to standard linear models in political science, combining theoretical structure with flexibility about functional …
Working Paper · 2026
Introduces the Big Five Adaptive Inventory (BF-AI), a freely available computerized adaptive test built on the 100-item IPIP-NEO via the catSurv R package. In simulation studies …
Working Paper · 2026
Models preregistration as a form of cheap talk — a costless, non-binding announcement that nonetheless shapes reviewer expectations and creates informal discipline through rational …
Working Paper · 2026
Does populist rhetoric actually win over mass audiences? Analyzing more than 28 million Facebook posts from over 26,000 candidates and 1,600 parties across 90 countries, this paper …
Working Paper · 2026
Demonstrates how multilingual language models enable cross-lingual text analysis without translation. Fine-tuning a multilingual model on just one language matches the performance …
Working Paper · 2026
Using a novel dataset of candidates' Facebook pages across 82 elections in 68 democracies, this paper examines how national, institutional, party, and individual factors shape …
Working Paper · 2026
Proposes GD-GPIRT, a generalized dynamic Gaussian process item response theory model for longitudinal and ordinal observations. The model combines Bayesian nonparametric IRT — …
