108th Senate — GGUM scores

data

GGUM ideal point estimates for the 108th Senate (members scored: 100 of 100; max PSRF: 1.002).

108th Senate — GGUM θ vs W-NOMINATE dim-1

Download

Download S108-ggum-scores.csv — 100 members, 25 columns (Voteview metadata + GGUM θ, θ SD, PSRF).

Off-diagonal members

The following 2 members fall more than 2.5σ off the OLS fit of GGUM θ on W-NOMINATE dim-1. We flag these as diagnostic cases where the two scalings most disagree.

MemberPartyStatenominateGGUM θresidual
MILLERDGA+0.15+1.18+0.66
McCAINRAZ+0.38+0.77-0.60

Placements worth a second look

GGUM’s placement of the following members differs from what their established political reputations might lead a reader to expect. We draw attention to these cases so that researchers can consider them before using the estimates for a particular analysis; we are not alleging error.

  • GRAHAM. Graham is commonly viewed as a Gang-of-14 bipartisan dealmaker who co-sponsored climate legislation with McCain and Lieberman around this period. GGUM places him as the third-most conservative senator in this Congress.

  • BYRD. Byrd is commonly viewed as a long-tenured West Virginia institutionalist, not among the chamber’s most liberal members. GGUM places him at the left floor in this Congress only; adjacent terms place him in the mid-30s/40s percentile.

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The prose on this page was drafted with Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, with plausibility audits by Claude Sonnet 4.5 subagents. The author edited and reviewed throughout.