119th House — GGUM scores

data

GGUM ideal point estimates for the 119th House (members scored: 444 of 452; max PSRF: 1.017).

119th House — GGUM θ vs W-NOMINATE dim-1

Download

Download H119-ggum-scores.csv — 452 members, 25 columns (Voteview metadata + GGUM θ, θ SD, PSRF).

Off-diagonal members

The following 12 members fall more than 2.5σ off the OLS fit of GGUM θ on W-NOMINATE dim-1. We flag these as diagnostic cases where the two scalings most disagree.

MemberPartyStatenominateGGUM θresidual
TLAIBDMI-0.29-2.98-1.48
OMARDMN-0.30-2.83-1.31
GONZALEZDTX-0.39-0.67+1.18
OCASIO-CORTEZDNY-0.33-2.80-1.14
GARCIADTX-0.76-2.22+1.02
MASSIERKY+0.65+2.95+0.99
MACERSC+0.35+1.81+0.95
PRESSLEYDMA-0.38-2.75-0.94
HARRIGANRNC+0.97+2.19-0.93
MCCORMICKRGA+0.89+1.90-0.93
SMITHRNJ+0.18+1.12+0.88
MOYLANRGU+0.33-0.04-0.81

Placements worth a second look

GGUM’s placement of the following members differs from what their established political reputations might lead a reader to expect. We draw attention to these cases so that researchers can consider them before using the estimates for a particular analysis; we are not alleging error.

  • FLETCHER. Fletcher is commonly viewed as a pragmatic, swing-district Houston-area moderate Democrat. GGUM places her near the chamber’s left floor in this Congress, breaking her pattern in surrounding terms.

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The prose on this page was drafted with Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, with plausibility audits by Claude Sonnet 4.5 subagents. The author edited and reviewed throughout.