114th House — GGUM scores

data

GGUM ideal point estimates for the 114th House (members scored: 435 of 441; max PSRF: 1.017).

114th House — GGUM θ vs W-NOMINATE dim-1

Download

Download H114-ggum-scores.csv — 441 members, 25 columns (Voteview metadata + GGUM θ, θ SD, PSRF).

Off-diagonal members

The following 7 members fall more than 2.5σ off the OLS fit of GGUM θ on W-NOMINATE dim-1. We flag these as diagnostic cases where the two scalings most disagree.

MemberPartyStatenominateGGUM θresidual
AMASHRMI+0.65+2.59+0.71
ROYCERCA+0.66+1.20-0.69
MASSIERKY+0.65+2.50+0.63
CUELLARDTX-0.23-0.57+0.56
PETERSONDMN-0.15-0.33+0.54
HURDRTX+0.29+1.14+0.52
HICERGA+0.80+1.86-0.51

Placements worth a second look

GGUM’s placement of the following members differs from what their established political reputations might lead a reader to expect. We draw attention to these cases so that researchers can consider them before using the estimates for a particular analysis; we are not alleging error.

  • SMITH. Smith is commonly viewed as a centrist, defense-hawk Democrat (he was the ranking member on Armed Services). GGUM places him well toward the chamber’s progressive range.

  • HURD. Hurd is commonly viewed as one of the House GOP’s most centrist, cross-party-friendly members. GGUM places him solidly within the mainstream-conservative range.

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The prose on this page was drafted with Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, with plausibility audits by Claude Sonnet 4.5 subagents. The author edited and reviewed throughout.