109th House — GGUM scores

data

GGUM ideal point estimates for the 109th House (members scored: 438 of 440; max PSRF: 1.006).

109th House — GGUM θ vs W-NOMINATE dim-1

Download

Download H109-ggum-scores.csv — 440 members, 25 columns (Voteview metadata + GGUM θ, θ SD, PSRF).

Off-diagonal members

The following 5 members fall more than 2.5σ off the OLS fit of GGUM θ on W-NOMINATE dim-1. We flag these as diagnostic cases where the two scalings most disagree.

MemberPartyStatenominateGGUM θresidual
PAULRTX+0.86+0.37-2.12
KUCINICHDOH-0.58-2.82-0.87
STARKDCA-0.63-2.87-0.76
WOOLSEYDCA-0.56-2.63-0.75
BLUMENAUERDOR-0.43-2.17-0.70

Placements worth a second look

GGUM’s placement of the following members differs from what their established political reputations might lead a reader to expect. We draw attention to these cases so that researchers can consider them before using the estimates for a particular analysis; we are not alleging error.

  • PAUL. Ron Paul is commonly viewed as the House’s defining libertarian-conservative pole for three decades. GGUM places him near the chamber median in this Congress only; every adjacent term places him among the twenty most conservative House members.

← Back to the GGUM-for-Congress release


The prose on this page was drafted with Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, with plausibility audits by Claude Sonnet 4.5 subagents. The author edited and reviewed throughout.