107th House — GGUM scores

data

GGUM ideal point estimates for the 107th House (members scored: 440 of 444; max PSRF: 1.013).

107th House — GGUM θ vs W-NOMINATE dim-1

Download

Download H107-ggum-scores.csv — 444 members, 25 columns (Voteview metadata + GGUM θ, θ SD, PSRF).

Off-diagonal members

The following 15 members fall more than 2.5σ off the OLS fit of GGUM θ on W-NOMINATE dim-1. We flag these as diagnostic cases where the two scalings most disagree.

MemberPartyStatenominateGGUM θresidual
LoBIONDORNJ+0.21+2.14+1.56
ENGLISHRPA+0.25+2.08+1.38
WELLERRIL+0.29+2.12+1.30
RAMSTADRMN+0.32+2.11+1.21
SWEENEYRNY+0.25+1.89+1.19
JONESRNC+0.24+1.82+1.14
GILLMORROH+0.25+1.71+1.00
LATHAMRIA+0.30+1.81+0.95
ADERHOLTRAL+0.41+2.09+0.93
TRAFICANTDOH-0.08+0.61+0.91
KENNEDYRMN+0.41+2.07+0.89
TAYLORDMS-0.04-1.05-0.86
HULSHOFRMO+0.36+1.87+0.82
WICKERRMS+0.38+1.90+0.81
MORANRKS+0.41+1.96+0.76

Placements worth a second look

GGUM’s placement of the following members differs from what their established political reputations might lead a reader to expect. We draw attention to these cases so that researchers can consider them before using the estimates for a particular analysis; we are not alleging error.

  • RAMSTAD. Ramstad is commonly viewed as a moderate, pro-choice Republican. GGUM places him near the extreme-right pole.

  • LoBIONDO. LoBiondo is commonly viewed as a moderate Republican. GGUM places him near the extreme-right pole.

  • ENGLISH. English is commonly viewed as a moderate Republican. GGUM places him near the extreme-right pole.

  • WELLER. Weller is commonly viewed as a mainstream Republican. GGUM places him near the extreme-right pole.

  • LATHAM. Latham is commonly viewed as a pragmatic, appropriations-focused Iowa Republican. GGUM places him near the top of the chamber’s conservative range in this Congress, well above his usual placement in surrounding Congresses.

  • SWEENEY. Sweeney is commonly viewed as a mainstream upstate New York Republican. GGUM places him near the top of the chamber’s conservative range in this Congress, an outlier among his terms.

  • GILLMOR. Gillmor is commonly viewed as a low-profile institutionalist Ohio Republican. GGUM places him near the top of the chamber’s conservative range in this Congress, an outlier among his terms.

  • THOMPSON. Thompson is commonly viewed as a centrist Blue Dog Democrat from a competitive North Coast California seat. GGUM places him near the bottom of the chamber’s liberal range in this Congress, an outlier among his terms.

  • STUPAK. Stupak is commonly viewed as a centrist, Blue Dog-aligned Michigan Democrat. GGUM places him near the bottom of the chamber’s liberal range in this Congress, an outlier among his terms.

  • COSTELLO. Costello is commonly viewed as a moderate Illinois Democrat from a swing downstate district. GGUM places him near the bottom of the chamber’s liberal range in this Congress, an outlier among his terms.

← Back to the GGUM-for-Congress release


The prose on this page was drafted with Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, with plausibility audits by Claude Sonnet 4.5 subagents. The author edited and reviewed throughout.