104th House — GGUM scores

data

GGUM ideal point estimates for the 104th House (members scored: 444 of 445; max PSRF: 1.027).

104th House — GGUM θ vs W-NOMINATE dim-1

Download

Download H104-ggum-scores.csv — 445 members, 25 columns (Voteview metadata + GGUM θ, θ SD, PSRF).

Off-diagonal members

The following 10 members fall more than 2.5σ off the OLS fit of GGUM θ on W-NOMINATE dim-1. We flag these as diagnostic cases where the two scalings most disagree.

MemberPartyStatenominateGGUM θresidual
DUNCANRTN+0.60+0.50-1.20
SANFORDRSC+0.69+0.78-1.15
COBURNROK+0.78+1.09-1.13
SCHROEDERDCO-0.23-1.78-1.07
MYERSRIN+0.24+1.59+0.96
NEUMANNRWI+0.67+0.93-0.95
STOCKMANRTX+0.90+1.60-0.95
SENSENBRENNERRWI+0.64+0.89-0.91
ENSIGNRNV+0.51+0.56-0.86
JONESRNC+0.24+1.50+0.85

Placements worth a second look

GGUM’s placement of the following members differs from what their established political reputations might lead a reader to expect. We draw attention to these cases so that researchers can consider them before using the estimates for a particular analysis; we are not alleging error.

  • MYERS. Myers is commonly viewed as a moderate Republican. GGUM places him near the extreme-right pole.

  • JONES. Jones is commonly viewed as a moderate-conservative Republican in this period. GGUM places him well toward the right pole, among the most conservative members of the chamber (top 15 percent by GGUM placement), though not among the handful of members at the extreme pole itself.

  • SENSENBRENNER. Sensenbrenner is commonly viewed as a reliably conservative Republican. GGUM places him near the center.

  • DUNCAN. Duncan is commonly viewed as a reliably conservative Republican. GGUM places him near the center.

  • SANFORD. Sanford is commonly viewed as a strongly conservative Republican. GGUM places him near the center.

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The prose on this page was drafted with Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, with plausibility audits by Claude Sonnet 4.5 subagents. The author edited and reviewed throughout.