102nd House — GGUM scores

data

GGUM ideal point estimates for the 102nd House (members scored: 436 of 441; max PSRF: 1.011).

102nd House — GGUM θ vs W-NOMINATE dim-1

Download

Download H102-ggum-scores.csv — 441 members, 25 columns (Voteview metadata + GGUM θ, θ SD, PSRF).

Off-diagonal members

The following 10 members fall more than 2.5σ off the OLS fit of GGUM θ on W-NOMINATE dim-1. We flag these as diagnostic cases where the two scalings most disagree.

MemberPartyStatenominateGGUM θresidual
SIKORSKIDMN-0.22-2.49-2.09
CLAYDMO-0.49-2.55-1.34
PALLONEDNJ-0.40-0.04+0.91
SANDERSIVT-0.55-2.17-0.79
PERKINSDKY-0.56-0.67+0.76
YATESDIL-0.49-1.94-0.71
SAVAGEDIL-0.67-2.45-0.70
AUCOINDOR-0.23-1.11-0.66
SERRANODNY-0.49-1.88-0.66
MFUMEDMD-0.44-1.72-0.65

Placements worth a second look

GGUM’s placement of the following members differs from what their established political reputations might lead a reader to expect. We draw attention to these cases so that researchers can consider them before using the estimates for a particular analysis; we are not alleging error.

  • SIKORSKI. Sikorski is commonly viewed as a mainstream Minnesota liberal. GGUM places him at the extreme-left pole, left of Bernie Sanders in this chamber.

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The prose on this page was drafted with Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7, with plausibility audits by Claude Sonnet 4.5 subagents. The author edited and reviewed throughout.